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#NotFinancialAdvice
DISCLAIMER: All of ZipTrader & ZipTrader LLC, our trades, reflections, strategies, and news coverage are based on our opinions alone and are only for entertainment purposes. These are Charlie's opinions, not investment/financial/legal advice. Past performance is not a predictor of future results. ZipTrader LLC is a Media Company and focuses on publishing media in regards to the market & market education. This is not personalized but rather general educational and informational material. Do your own due diligence and/or consult a registered financial advisor before taking any positions.
You should not take any of this information as guidance for buying or selling any type of investment or security. I am not a financial advisor and anything that I say on this YouTube channel should not be seen as financial advice. I am only sharing my biased opinion based off of speculation and personal experience. An individual trader's results may not be typical and may vary from person to person. It is important to keep in mind that there are risks associated with investing in the stock market and that one can lose all of their investment. Thus, trades should not be based on the opinions of others but by your own research and due diligence.
AFFILIATE DISCLOSURE: I only recommend products and services I truly believe in. Some of the links on this webpage are affiliate links, meaning, at no additional cost to you, I may earn a commission if you click through and make a purchase and/or subscribe.
Folks Three violent things to discuss today. Number one, a big report that is coming tomorrow, Number two, the latest warning from the big Money Elites who have been a leading super heart and lastly, Number Three Squeeze plays to talk about including the latest on Triple B Y and party. Both plays have now run over 100 Briefing price, the highs, what do you need to know about them and what's going to happen moving forward and today's video is brought to you by the ravishing buttons down below. You know what they say, the best prescription is a subscription so make sure to subscribe today and hit that ravishing like button.
So tomorrow at 8 30 A.m Eastern we are getting the next CPR release. What did we have at the last report? Well, we had year over year, all item inflation coming in at 7.1 percent, the monthly change coming in at 0.1 percent Core went up six percent year over year and 0.2 percent month over month. So what are the expectations this time around? Well, expectations are to reaffirm the dipping trend line from November and get 6.7 annual All item inflation and expectations are to see Core go down to 5.6 annually, and markets are expected to see a pretty clear, consistent down trending line for a while thanks to dropping material costs and supply chain healing, but a lot of people do. Oftentimes forget the other cost labor and the concept of the wage price spiral.
Employers have had to pay more and more to employees as a result of all these previous cost of living increases and those wages are a lot stickier in that employers seldom give workers a pay cut. They usually just keep paying them the same or fire them so that higher labor cost gets fixed into the prizes and you get permanent inflationary pressure from that, right? Meanwhile, Bloomberg Reported this morning that the Cost of Living Crisis is still the top immediate risk for the Davos Elite One thing I love about the Elite is that they are always so kind to take time out of their very important days to warn Us in the peasantry about problems and I always like to say hey, you should probably trust the Elites before you even trust yourself because they're just looking out for your best interest, right? But in all seriousness, here's what they said when asked which of the following best characterizes your outlook for the world over the short term two years and long term 10 years. Here's what the answers look like: Almost 7 in 10 respondents wreck in the near term will be characterized by volatile economies and multiple shocks, while a fifth of them fear catastrophic outcomes within a decade for two years, the biggest expectation is for constant volatility across economies and industries, with multiple shocks accentuating Divergent trajectories and in 10 years that still is the winner although it consolidates a bit and you get more in the slightly volatile and or Progressive Tipping Point categories. But these Elites see the most immediate risk as the Cost of Living crisis. A crisis that a lot of people think is behind us, when in fact, you know I Gotta agree with the Elites here: the Cost of Living Crisis is going to continue to be a massive, massive problem in the coming years. Because a lot of prices aren't going to go down, they're just going to slow down. But at the same time A Lot of people are going to be losing their jobs. A lot of people are going to have more and more economic uncertainty.
The cost to borrow money is significantly higher than it's been in many, many decades, so on and so forth. And according to some big firms, markets are underestimating inflation. Once again, quote, some of the world's largest asset managers such as BlackRock Fidelity Investments and Carl McNatt are warning markets are underestimating both inflation and the ultimate peak of U.S Rates: just like a year ago, the stakes are immense. after Wall Street almost unanimously underestimated inflation's trajectory.
Global Stock saw 18 trillion dollars wiped out, while the U.S Treasury Market suffered its worst year in history and yet going by inflation swaps, expectations are again that inflation will be relatively tame and dropped toward the Fed's two percent. Target Within a year. While money markets are betting, the Central Bank will start cutting rates again. and this is a complete opposite of what the FED is saying.
At least in terms of cutting rates, the FED is saying we're going to keep rates elevated throughout 2023 and into 2024.. Markets think, hey, inflation is going to plummet fast, but so is the overall economy. and as a result, the Fed's going to have to U-turn before 2024 even happens now according to an asset manager from Car Mcnac, the biggest mistake markets are making right now is expecting inflation to come down to 2.5 percent next year when we actually may be in a cycle similar to what we saw in the late 60s to early 80s. And that period, energy shocks drove U.S inflation into double digits.
twice you had three big whoops upward in the CPI that each time afterwards had huge Plumbing periods where it seemed as though inflation had steadied out. but nope, nope, it hadn't. So they are suggesting here that hey, perhaps we see inflation die down for a bit, but that does not. It does not guarantee at all that we are going to avoid another round back upward.
If The Fed takes the foot off the brakes Too early. we could see another massive massive inflationary spiral, right and Powell came out yesterday and said, hey, the FED may have to make some very, very unpopular decisions to stabilize prices I Think at this point, the FED is already about as popular as a recreational colonoscopy. Who would want a recreational colonoscopy? Charlie Exactly I Rest my case. He said quote price stability is the Bedrock of a healthy economy and provides the public with immeasurable benefits over time.
But restoring price stability when inflation is high can require measures that are not popular in the short term as we raise interest rates to slow the economy. He also stressed the need to keep politics out of Central Bank policy. This gives flashbacks to Trump famously criticizing Powell for raising rates back in the first hiking cycle and Senator Elizabeth Warren in this cycle also criticizing Powell for potentially fixing inflation at the cost of many people's jobs. He also said that the FED will not be a climate policy maker, a clear hint to his desire to stay out of climate politics. Personally I Think this is a big mistake. I've always been a Believer myself that the FED should be on the front lines of this climate crisis. If you raise rates enough, even the Earth is going to be like damn it. I Can't afford hurricanes anymore.
Now let's go ahead and talk about the major squeeze stocks that I'm seeing right now. So if you are unfamiliar, a squeeze stock is a stock that is being shorted to the ground, has low available shares left to buy and then sees enough Buy tires that causes a massive Rush where the price skyrockets and shorts betting that the stock will go down are sitting on massive massive losses and can be margin called and forced to further buy back shares to close out of their short positions. The stocks almost always after the squeeze, significantly drop, usually towards zero. But the point is, the squeeze provides a big rally rally toe.
Now, of course, you need to always remember that trading stocks is risky and you can lose everything, including an arm and a leg depending on whether or not you got your trading capital from a loan shark. So go in with a plan. do your own due diligence, don't take any wooden nickels. All the usual tips: let's start with Triple By.
So Triple By has had a rough time. Its sales have been shrinking for years, and it's been warning of bankruptcy. Its stock has gone from the 30 to 53 dollar range it held in 2021 to just 127 at recent lows. Short interest is at about 38.58 percent of free float.
It's currently in the process of trying to squeeze shorts after prominent mean trade activist Ryan Cohen tweeted a cryptic message that people are interpreting to me Buy and Hold And there's always two different ways to look at a short squeeze candidate: either a The stock has been beat down and shorted justifiably by Short Sellers and people are taking a contrarian trade to squeeze them out before it inevitably goes to bankruptcy anyways. or B The stock has been beat down unjustifiably by Short Sellers and eventually will squeeze by sheer nature that the company won't go bankrupt, which is it for Bbby? Well, probably. a The company reported earnings yesterday and their net sales declined 33, predominantly driven by a comparable sales decline of 32 percent. Bed Bath and Beyond Brands saw a decline of 34 percent. Where is their Buy Buy Baby brand saw a decline in the low 20s range. Not to mention that a big reason this all happened was because they have approximately 70 percent lower in stock items and a drop in customer traffic and stores. A lot of suppliers had halted their shipments to the company because they were worried that they wouldn't be able to meet the increasingly stringent payment terms and so many of the stores didn't even have many items in stock if people wanted to buy them. So no wonder people weren't going to stores.
and this was heading into the holiday season. which is of course, a crucial, pivotal season for Bed Bath and Beyond and all retailers, right? So terrible time to mess up and it's going to be another one eight months before you have another holiday season. And overall, they reported an operating loss of 225 million dollars. The problem with that is that they only have about 153 million dollars of cash left on their balance sheet, and while they said they are going to be closing stores in addition to all the stores they closed last year, well, it's reasonable to assume that their days are numbered.
With this kind of cash burn and this amount of cash left on the balance sheet, they're going to go through that real real fast. So my thoughts on the stock. Well, this falls into the category of a ticking Time Bomb It'll squeeze as long as there's interest in it and interest is on the uptrend for now, but once the dust settles, it'll likely go bankrupt and go down closer to zero. That said, there are usually pretty big opportunities with these as they run.
For example, we briefed on this one at about 30 minutes prior to market open on Monday at about 155-ish a share and it ran to 3 46 this morning at highs. that's about a 123 percent run, briefing price to highs which was fantastic. Probably going to have a few more rounds and then boom, it's going to die. So if you are looking to play this, make sure that you're watching in the coming days for opportunities.
probably after a sizable drop that then shows some signs of recovering and then actually bounces Squeeze place can be thought of like a hot rock. They are fun until they burn you so you can't play the hold and Hope game. you have to play the oh I'm gonna play the game I'm gonna hold the Rock and then I'm gonna toss it to somebody else and if they want to get burnt bank and get burnt next party. So our party play was, well, quite the party.
We briefed on it at roughly 22 cents a share Monday morning and it had a fake out run to 30 and then it dumped and then in the previous extended hours it ran to 73 cents which is a total run of about 231. Briefing: Price: The highs. Now obviously not all of our ideas run like this and these are some of the best. But the point is that squeeze Place specifically can be great opportunities whether or not the shorts are Justified But but why did it see this massive rally? Well, similar to Triple by the stock has been beat down to the ground on fairly. Justified Bankruptcy fears. and with the company making some efforts to try to ward off bankruptcy and people buying and hoping to squeeze shorts out before that happens, it creates this contrarian trade environment. For example, Party City is known for selling balloons and other festive supplies, but apparently they have had a hard time even doing that because, well, the balloons are struggling with the helium shortage. I Mean it's almost comical that Party City can't even get helium for their balloons even with the helium.
Party City was getting destroyed by big actual companies that make sense like Amazon and other e-commerce players that have most of their business online instead of expensive retail stores. So what the helium shortage and a lot of other problems. It's not surprising that their stock price has been deflating hahaha. But seriously, I say this all because you don't want to be caught hold and hoping you want to play the contrarian trades but not fall for them, right? A Lot of people tell you on social media Reddit Twitter Whatever that these companies deserve, every single dollar you have and you should just buy and hold it indefinitely because short sellers are just unjustifiably beating these down because they are haters.
Now folks, these stocks, they deserve to be shorted to the ground. The only reason that they are fun as trades is because they are shorted to the ground and can provide some short-term inefficiencies where the people that are buying it create a massive, massive contrarian squeeze, but almost always shortly after that they die off. So do not fall for the cool. Aid Do Not drink that juicy juicy.
Kool-Aid And as I make this video, party isn't a big take profit cycle and we'll see if there are more residual runs in the coming days. Keep it on your radar folks. And by the way, we publicly showed our triple by and party and other plays on the channel at the end of the last video. So even if you don't join our team in zipreader U if you pay attention, we do give a lot of the trade ideas here on the channel for free.
They don't call me the stock market Mother Teresa for nothing, right? But if you would like access to our daily morning briefings or step by step last private chat and full price Target List: I Will put the link to that down in the description below Coupon code hello 2023 will get you a sizable discount on that before checkout. Have a great rest of your day folks and we will see you in the next one. Make sure to Ravish all of the buttons.
Did you say CPR instead of cpi on purpose?
If so, icwydt
don't fight the fed!
Wow you called it!
Charlie arrival 🚀🚀🚀🚀😃😃
Thank you mother Theresa. Also belated "Happy Holidays" Luv da stream – Chicago Rob
Hcdi
Gay people love recreational colonoscopy’s Charlie.
Stocks are falling and bond yields are rising, but markets still don’t seem convinced the Federal Reserve will pursue plans to keep increasing interest rates until inflation is under control. I'm still at a crossroads deciding if to liquidate my $117k stocck portfolio, what’s the best way to take advantage of this bear market?
"Ravish". You keep using that word. I do not think it means what you think it means.
Listening to what the Fed is saying is known to lower one's IQ.
Trump incarcerated 2024, LFG
Nice video My greatest happiness is the $64,000 weekly profit I get consistently from my $ 15,000 investment despite the economic fluctuation
I’m so happy I made productive decisions about my finances that changed my life forever. I’m a single mother living in Melbourne Australia, bought my second house in September and hoping to retire next year at 45 if things keep going smoothly for me.,,…
We started January 2022 at 7.4 cpi and ended the year at 7.1 after rate hikes. Gas prices at the pumps are on the rise, food prices are high. Inflation is far from being to the point of cutting rates. I see the cpi being 6.8 for December and will go back up each month till summer.
Based Charlie
Just adding this as another hot Penny play for charlie and traders
$TRKA
Creditor negotions meeting 1-13-2023
Been building up from .11 base
.14 after hours
.22 Gap fill potential on positive news
Thanks for covering BBBY in your last video. I threw some money on some call options and I'm up +429%. Going to try not to be greedy and sell tomorrow morning.
BBBY 🚀
AMC 🚀
Cost of living crisis caused by the elites
It would be interesting to see the volume on the squeezes. Thank you for your continued work.
A helium shortage should be very effective at lowering inflation
Charlie why aren't you showing your face anymore?
What did I miss..wheres your face and hands, Charlie? Off site, temporary delivery of content or new format here to stay? Im going back to watch the video now. TIA and good day sir
What’s with that annoying commercial Charlie?
So buy and hold AMC? Yessir 🫡