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#NotFinancialAdvice
DISCLAIMER: All of ZipTrader & ZipTrader LLC, our trades, reflections, strategies, and news coverage are based on our opinions alone and are only for entertainment purposes. These are Charlie's opinions, not investment/financial/legal advice. Past performance is not a predictor of future results. ZipTrader LLC is a Media Company and focuses on publishing media in regards to the market & market education. This is not personalized but rather general educational and informational material. Do your own due diligence and/or consult a registered financial advisor before taking any positions.
You should not take any of this information as guidance for buying or selling any type of investment or security. I am not a financial advisor and anything that I say on this YouTube channel should not be seen as financial advice. I am only sharing my biased opinion based off of speculation and personal experience. An individual trader's results may not be typical and may vary from person to person. It is important to keep in mind that there are risks associated with investing in the stock market and that one can lose all of their investment. Thus, trades should not be based on the opinions of others but by your own research and due diligence.
AFFILIATE DISCLOSURE: I only recommend products and services I truly believe in. Some of the links on this webpage are affiliate links, meaning, at no additional cost to you, I may earn a commission if you click through and make a purchase and/or subscribe.
Okay folks, so we have to discuss two things. Number one, we need to discuss the setup of Adder heading into this lovely week. It went parabolic the last couple of weeks, but can the momentum continue? We will discuss potential catalysts and pain points that you're going to want to know about this week. And then, lastly, for the main entree, I want to discuss something that I believe may explode.
Why, what, and how do you play it? Okay, let's go ahead and start with a lovely little aggregator. So this is a setup that we've been covering in depth since the pre-market of April 4th, and it's been one of the most consistent squeeze setups of 2022 thus far. It hit nearly all of our bull criteria the last couple of weeks and even fought off market-wide cooldowns. On Wednesday you hit a new high, which was led by a combination of market makers hedging their sold and newly in the money call options.
Some got exercised and then dumped onto the market towards close that day, which caused a wider selloff. Now on Wednesday's video, we talked about how you'd likely see a similar situation on that last day of the trading week on Thursday, where if momentum held, you'd have market makers trying to further hedge, but you'd also have the rest of the options being exercised throughout that day. And my prediction was you'd see a breathing day In totality, You did get that original pop just like we saw on Wednesday. and then you did get a breath, but the breath wasn't much.
Two percent down on a stock that's up this much in the last two weeks. That's crazy. Two percent down translated into hype terms is like zero percent down. These stocks could easily drop twenty thirty forty percent when you have this kind of setup and you have a breathing day.
But Atticators showed some serious retaining power. You look at popularity. Atra as of right now, still retains the number one spot on Reddit as registered by Ape Wisdom on Stock Twits, though it has fallen to number three, right behind Nile and Mullen. Still pretty high up there, but you're not seeing the same momentum over there.
They have been traditionally a little bit less popular of a ticker at that platform. You go over to the Ortex data you now have 70.58 of the free float on loan if you recall last week, and you look at the data that actually shows it right here. it was at 63.21 percent. When you have cost of borrow fees going through the roof and utilization at 100, all of a sudden, there's a rush to lend out more and more shares.
But of course somebody who owns a share has to be in a broker or in a position where they allow re-lending of their shares in order for this number to go up and for more shares to be available to be loaned. the closer you are to 100, the harder it is to find more shares to loan. I didn't think you'd see it climb to 70, but here we are and the price still hasn't come down much. Look at the cost and risk profile and how aggressive short sellers are being. Right now, it's pretty obvious that a lot of resources are being used to get this down as fast as possible. You look at other heavily shorted stocks like Amc or Gme. Amc is sitting at 26.49 Gme 33.86 percent of shares of that free float lent out actors at 70.58 I mean they are literally trying to do everything they can to throw the book or prepare to throw more books at her. Obviously, the big story with Amc and Jimmy is also the potentially strong naked shorting that we have seen symptoms of for quite a while.
Which means shares that were sold onto the market that weren't ever really borrowed in the first place. That's also a story with Atra, and dare I say it may be even more extreme. and the Ceo himself acknowledged this last fall, which you haven't really seen that many publicly traded company Ceos actually acknowledge the presence of, well, naked short selling. If you look at the history of actress failures to deliver, it's substantial.
The biggest period was the August September Rally that also of course corresponded with 100 utilization as time goes on and failures to deliver are reported, I'd expect we'd see a similar trend, if not more extreme trend the last few weeks as well, but there's certainly some symptoms that you can look at that indicate that there's a lot of selling pressure that's available despite the limited quantity of shares that are available. The problem though, is that of course we have blinders on and we don't have 100 of the data here, so it's very difficult to understand exactly what's going on behind the scenes. But based on what we do know and the data that we do have, it's pretty obvious to me that short sellers are throwing the book at this, which means extreme profit for them if they can get this down, but potentially extreme and quick losses for them if they can't But the way that I look at this heading into this new week is the longer this goes on without making a new high, the more likely it is to die off and break through previously conquered support levels, which is not what you want to see. Once you go so far as breaching the trust in this momentum cycle, it can oftentimes simply become a huge race to the bottom where people panic sell out and a lot of people that got in at much lower values and are up huge end up saying you know what? I'm going to go ahead and lock in my profits.
That's the point where you start getting everybody running for the hills and that causes a lot of panic and that's the point where you get some of the biggest pouncing from people who are short. This if you think people are confident shorting this as it goes up, wait until it starts going down. All of a sudden people are like, yeah, now it's time to start really throwing the book. You do not want a cascading crisis of confidence, and that's why you really do need to see this.
At least attempt a new uptrend this week, as well as retain those levels. Now you have some wiggle room in terms of attempting a new uptrend. I do believe, especially after Thursday's two percent down day, that it probably could take a day or two more of breathing before another bounce back. But a few days of big breathing combined with a failure to retain crucial levels is going to cause a lot of folks to lose confidence and they're going to look at this as just another momentum play that came, went and died. It is what it is. if you look at 100 of these plays, 99 of them went down before shorts really got squeezed. On the bright side though, right now we are heading into a week with a lot of strength. We just came off a new breakout.
It almost managed to make another new high and its retention of the overall uptrend is strong, and if you do go over to the options chain, it's very, very possible that we see a repeat of last week if we hold above crucial levels. you look at the most concentrated call options that expire on April 22nd at the end of this coming week. Right now, it's the 350 and the four, but also the 4.50 the five, and the 550. market makers probably hedged decently for the 350s and below on Thursday and days prior, but the biggest concentration of bets is on Attrix firing at just over four dollars a share.
And keep in mind though, that we are entering this week at over that price a decent amount over that at five dollars and fifty three cents, give or take the after hours if we simply retain the levels that we're at right now, well, as time passes, guess what? We get closer to that expiration and closer to these previously unlikely call options expiring in the money. And if that happens, you're going to have what happened last week, which is another rush of call option sellers or overall market makers going and having to neutralize the risk of those expiring in the money by buying shares or taking other bullish bets. There's also some increased open interest at the strike price of six dollars, which will prove to be another potential pressure point that you can look forward to this week. But what's interesting is this concentration of open interest at the 750 and eight dollar strike prices.
You see a bit of a drop off of open interest after the six dollar strike price, but then it picks up huge when you get into 750 and eight. Probability of this expired in the money is less than 18 as of right now. yet you're getting more and more concentrated at these levels. If you do get a moonshot to these prices, all of these contracts are going to have to be hedged and probably will be hedged in a panic by mid to late next week.
So the way that I look at it is that the main pressure point this week is likely still around five to six bucks a share. If it simply holds that into the end of the week, you should see new breakout attempts easily. But in a situation where you get another momentum rally via either Fomo or breakout euphoria or some other catalyst that I didn't see coming, and somehow that gives you a moonshot breakout past six dollars, or even up to 750 or eight all of a sudden, you have a lot a lot of accelerating pressure that could build onto that momentum because market makers are not factoring that in right now Probabilities are too low. you're not going to have adequate hedging in that until you get closer to those numbers. We have five days, and the odds are against this closing at those prices as the days take on. If this retains value, well, the probability increases, which means that the amount of hedging needs to increase as well. Now, keep this in mind though it's extremely difficult to hedge when you have a lot of the float locked up. either relent at 100 utilization or a lot of holders that are just kind of buying holiness and riding the way.
So far, you've been in a seller's market, not a buyer's market, which means that buyers are having a hard time finding shares where sellers aren't having a hard time at all because there's a huge demand for buying. When you have market makers needing to hedge more, they cause a huge huge influx of buy orders, which makes that situation so much more extreme. That said, you and I both know these are hype traits. These are you play the momentum and then you get the hell out and you and I both know that it's all fun and games to play musical chairs until the music stops and you're left without a chair and you fall on your rear end.
And unless you have a lot of padding back there, it's not gonna feel too good. Okay, before we move on, I do want to tell you that I spoke with the Easter Bunny. He's a big fan of trading. I mean, he hops around a lot so you never know what he's into.
But right now he's into trading. But he told me to remind you that our coupon code never give up on ziptraderu is expiring soon at the date in the description below and after that we will be raising prizes if you do join us, we'll see you 30 minutes prior to market. Open for the briefing tomorrow of course. one time fee for lifetime access.
Happy Easter! Okay folks, I hope you have some energy because the main topic of conversation today is the energy sector. The thesis for future momentum in the sector is based on several big themes that we are seeing right now. As of late, the conversation has shifted towards a new round of oil sanctions and efforts to reduce reliance on the Russians, and the more that kind of talk amps up the hotter the oil disruption trade is going to be because traders are going to anticipate these countries going and having to bid up oil supplies everywhere else. If they're no longer buying oil or any sort of energy from Russia, where are they buying it from other sources? Which means they're bidding up those prices which are already skyrocketing. And of course, anything new that Russia does to escalate the crisis over in Ukraine. that's also going to be seen as a threat to further block off Russia from the global energy supply. and Ups has predicted that tighter supplies will push the commodity back to 125 a barrel this summer, and I believe there's a very strong chance that you see even higher than those prices at least temporarily before we get to that point. No, I can't tell you what oil is going to do tomorrow or the next day.
It's possible that efforts from the White House or other countries or industry causes some short-term pullbacks, but I believe that overall the trend of energy and oil prices is going to get worse before it gets better. Which means trading opportunities. And there's a few big trading plays that you should know about heading into this week and the upcoming weeks. The hottest as of late is Indo Husa, and some others like Imp and Cei.
Let's talk about a couple here. We'll start with Indo now. Indo popped up huge, something like 65 the last trading day, and I'm not saying it's a good buy right now because it really depends on the scale of when energy disruption fear gets factored into the price. and that's based on a lot of different catalysts that are difficult to predict.
But I want to pick your brain about the setup because the overall trend is very, very interesting. You open up the chart. Yes, to run towards the end of last week was substantial, but based on where the energy trade goes, you could certainly see a lot of bigger retracement in a faster time horizon than we saw the first time. If you followed us the last couple of months back on February 24th, we started briefing on Indo again as an energy play.
along with our shorting of the Nasdaq and other trades that were in favor as Russia had invaded. it was trading somewhere around 13 bucks a share and it ran up to just under 87 bucks before energy took a breather and escalation fears calmed down. So anyways, if you're looking at this specific play, what are the odds that we retrace? Well, the angle for Indo is really two things. One is it's proven history as a spec hype play that runs up multiples of what oil runs up.
Two, Its recent announcement that they started drilling the first of two back-to-back production oil wells, which if successful, they say will bring in 100 bales of world per day over the first year of production. You also have 18 other new production wells in that same block expected by the end of 2024, which means rolling catalysts for boosting production. Three, The other thing to keep in mind is their production costs only 24.51 per barrel of oil as of the latest report. And remember, when oil prices go up, that doesn't mean that the cost to drill that oil goes up, although it may, but for the most part it just means that the global supply is having a hard time meeting demand. So the more that prices go up relative to your cost, the more potential profit you have. Considering Indo isn't based in Russia, it will be one of the players that benefits from the global benchmark prices. And of course the higher that oil prices go, the more margin for profit they have. So if we get another breakout in oil this week, which I would argue is a high likelihood, I would expect Indo to see more trading opportunities on Momentum.
Don't be surprised to see a big cool off towards the beginning of the week though, as we did just have this massive increase. Another spec oil trade to be aware of is Houston, and perhaps I even like this one more. This one's based in Houston, Texas and has a market cap of only 48 million bucks. Hoosa cares? Charlotte? Well, Misa cares.
Hoosa is intriguing for a few different reasons. It's tight above natural gas and crude oil prices, both of which are likely to skyrocket during several periods before the summer. It's also based in the Us, which is a big plus. Capital tends to flock more to trusted markets.
The only issue that comes with that is that their production costs are a little higher than Indo sitting at 33.67 So anyways, folks, I highly recommend looking for Momentum trading opportunities this week on stocks like your Indo, your Hussa, your Cei, and your Imp with the unfortunate ticker name. There are some others that I didn't touch on, but these are the ones that I'm the most familiar with anyways. folks that caps off today's video. If you have any questions, feel free to reach out to us below or join us on zip Trader Circle.
If you'd like to lock in our lifetime access for the discounted price right now, make sure to use coupon code never give up before Checkout on Ziptraderu! If you're looking for a powerful trading app to step up your trading game to the next level, I'll put a link to Moomoo down below and they are offering up to six free stocks. When you both sign up and deposit with our link below, have a good one folks and I'll see you in the next video.
Learn how to become a bright future an Independent trader. I have been able to make my first $25,000 in few days, with the help of Mr Charlie, Trading is not instant noodles – no one becoming rich in five minuets. Trading requires knowledge and skills, which will be handed to you freely, by our mentors professional traders like Charlie Powell.his address is above this comment thanks.
Can we please remember this guy said palantir was worth 50bucks a few months ago. Please exercise judgement
Sadly this economic crisis means more inflation and more inflation affects the banking system.
My condolences to anyone retiring this year.
Please can any considerate person here help me best ideas on diversifying my 150k on prolific invest ments? I hope to get best relies out here. God Bless!
Sadly this economic crisis means more inflation and more inflation affects the banking system.
My condolences to anyone retiring this year.
Please can any considerate person here help me best ideas on diversifying my 150k on prolific invest ments? I hope to get best relies out here. God Bless!
Lol charlie every stock you say could 10x 20 x 5x 6x falls like a rock maybe you should add it could also go DOWN
Digital currency is the future of finance, anybody still in doubt of that isn't in touch of reality.
Hey Charlie! (Or anyone informed in the comment section) I have 2 questions. What trading platform do you use in your videos? I really enjoy the look and ease of it.
Also what are your blue and red SMA? Like how many days are each?
I wish I got in on digital currencies early, I should have made millions by now, I just began investing now that the digital currency market is booming and I'd appreciate clues and strategies on how to make a 6 figure profit within next few months
Thanks a lot Charlie. Ater to double digit
ATER is the way. Oppenheimer's price target is $50. Squeeze baby, squeeze!!! After this, I am transferring to AMC and GME!
I'm no longer waiting for GRANT LOAN because I earn $29,700 every 10 days recently
Charlie u r RIGHT ATER is a WINNER 🏆 🥇 30 PLUS SOON With new COO
I am 60 my account is down 30% my life is over
Starting early is the best way of getting ahead to build wealth, investing remains a priority. The stock market has plenty of opportunities to earn a decent payouts even in a down trend, with the right skills and proper understanding of how the market works.
time to jump on the Mara swing now at $20.
❤️HOUSTON ✨
Is anyone trading options on this? Im worried theres not enough volume to execute orders
So AMC to the moon?
Will this go to $15?
I locked in profit
GATER GANG LFG 🐊🐊🐊
Loved the video Charlie… thanks so much!!
My only problem with it is the way you say ATER… you pronounce it AHH TURR), like "latter" not "later." And you even say "ahh-turr" gator…. do you also say "latter gator?" (I doubt you do!!!))
Well Charlie, Ahh turr doesn't rhyme with gater. I should be "ayy-turr", so it rhymes, with GATOR!!! Get it?!!? Say it with me, AYYY-TURRRR GATTTTOR!!!!
And also don't forget to smash that ravishing LIKE button!!!
$SBFM. 7 mil float, extremely high cost to borrow, extremely high SI, no options chain, cancer cure, trading under $4 right now. Check it out and spread the word!
I really liked you in 3rd Rock from the sun. Such a great show.
You said this was indo. smell like outdo. lol Sorry my favorite line from Friday
HAPPY EASTER FOLKS! What are YOUR favorite plays this week? Let us know below.