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#amcapes #amc
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#amcapes #amc
Okay folks, so we've got a lot to talk about. But first, just a moment of silence for short sellers. Even outside of the obvious, short sellers are having a really, really hard time getting companies down, and obviously you've continued to see inflows into everything tech and growth related. despite the fact that there's inflation concerns, and despite the fact that we have the Cpi Index report coming out.
and despite the fact that there's a lot of speculation that the Fed may be preparing to taper. and while it's certainly a nice site to see, I'm not convinced that it's going to sustain itself. So we have to be prepared regardless of the outcome. And we have to also be focusing on a lot of short-term trades right now.
And so in this video, we're going to be giving a very, very violent update on some of the latest plays, what's going on and what you need to know, And then of course, for the main entree, we're going to be talking about the A, the M, and the C. It went from last session's low at 41.50 to 59.68 today. Pretty massive swings. Keep in mind this is a stock that started the year in the low single digits.
We'll be talking about what's going on with it, what needs to happen to get it to 100. Pure speculation. Warning, But I think you're going to like what I have for you. And we're also going to be talking about some of the Sec crackdowns that we're seeing and whether anything's going to come of it.
and the only thing that I ask of you in return for all of this is that you hit that ravishing like button. And also don't forget to subscribe either. Okay, let's start with some updates on plays. I want to talk about the insanity of some of the numbers that we're seeing right now.
Let's take Clove up over 32 on the day, basically doubled in the last two weeks on Shorts getting punished, and Clove and I have a history. Back in February they were hit with unfair short seller reports and it sold off massively. And after it sold off massively, I was like, okay, well, I like this a lot. The short seller allegations are very unfair and unfounded, and I think that they're just trying to spread a short and distort campaign.
What happened next? Well, the inflation trade hit and all of growth got a ton of money pulled out of it, and so as a result, what we ended up seeing with Clover was one of the most effective, timely, and far-reaching short and historic campaigns that I've ever seen. Not only were the short seller allegations very effective at killing shareholder value, short sellers got super lucky because they did it right before the entire inflation trade hit as well. But of course, short sellers know when to quit, so they're like, okay, well, you know we made tons of money. We got this down so far.
Let's go ahead and take our profits. No, that didn't happen. You know what happened. Shorts got too greedy, pushed it way too far down, and they kept pushing.
They wanted to get this thing to zero. and in March and April, you know what I said. I said shorts are going to continue to try to pounce on this, trying to get it as close to zero as possible, but they're going to push it way too far because Clover has a lot of legitimate, actually good catalysts working for it. You know, there's actually some fundamental reason that Clover isn't worth zero, despite what the campaigns are trying to convince you of. My take was they'd push it too far and you continue seeing short squeezes for the next couple of months, but you wouldn't see a trend reversal until we get out of the inflation trade. Why did I say that? Well, what happens when you get too greedy as a short seller? Well, you push stocks too far down too fast and that leads you up into the springboard effect that backfires with squeezes. This pump and dump formation isn't organic trading. it's shorts getting squeezed and then shorts pouncing back on.
And I don't want to play the naked short card, but I'm going to play the naked short card here as well. But here's the deal. Short sellers aren't backing off anytime soon, which is really great for short-term traders. and it's honestly pretty good for long-term traders as well because it helps them build their conviction.
Okay, next charge point. the point of the charge. So obviously one of my highest conviction Ev plays is Chargepoint and they have been since the early S-pac days. They are the leader in Ev charging stations and in my view the electric vehicle adoption trend is just getting started.
Obviously Evs are getting punished right now because they had a period where they had massive growth interest rates allowed that to happen. Then we had the fud with the overall chip shortage and now people are like okay, well I guess Evs are never common. Okay, let's sell, sell sell. But in my view and if you agree with me, I think the charge point is one of the best values you could possibly get.
But the more you pay for it, the more you're gonna have to wait in order to get a return. And the reason is because if you buy it at 30 hey, it could go back down to 25 more times before it gets back to like 35, 40, 50. this in my opinion is an obvious winner. It's just a question of time horizon.
The less long you want to hold it, the cheaper you want to pay for it. In terms of short-term trades, leads provided more running today. Engio is another one that showed a lot of strength. some of the other squeeze inflow candidates obviously Clove Workhorse and Bb provided some opportunities today as well.
We're very much in this period of time. We're on days where a lot of retail stocks get inflows. You have what's called the everything squeeze where everything that has a lot of short interest gets squeezed and we'll work hard to keep finding these opportunities. But be aware that this doesn't have to last forever.
Hopefully it lasts for a while and we keep getting these opportunities. But markets shift right? Just a month ago, we were hearing that there's never going to be another retail trading opportunity. Ever. Now they're everywhere. Tomorrow we can go back. The whole key is just being aware that the stock market isn't up to you. It's not up to your predictions, but it is up to you to be prepared for whatever happens and then take advantage of the opportunities when they come. Okay, now for the main entree, Amc.
So let me just vent for a second. go to Google News search And you Google Amc stock and what are the main articles that pop up for Amc? Almost always negative. Amc insider selling picks up as meme stock rises amid retail wave. These Insiders sold Eight million dollars of stock during last week's boom.
When you search Amc stock and you look at the main news, what impression does this leave you with? Okay, all of these insiders. They're taking advantage of this shite company. They're selling all their shares, everyone's pulling out in mass retailer morons. They don't realize that even the insiders don't believe in this company.
But of course, like most media reports, there's a few problems with this. Number one is that obviously retail traders aren't buying in because of the fundamentals they're buying in because of hopes for a squeeze number two. Insiders by nature are fundamental holders, not short-term traders, not squeeze traders. So they are looking at the fundamentals when deciding their price departure where retail is not.
Third problem: when any stock goes up disproportionately, hey, selling pressure from insiders goes up disproportionately as well. Supply and demand dictates that for every higher price point, more Insiders are motivated to sell if they're able to, if the company allows them to. The last problem is, there's not that many insiders selling here, and the shares that are being sold are very, very small. Only three officers and or directors sold shares in the last 10 days and at the same time only in one case where the shares sold a large portion of shares being held.
In the other cases, for example, Mr. Colonero sold 15 000 shares but holds 93 000. Mr. Ellis sold 13 766 shares but holds 67 528.
And of course the total share sold were 8 million dollars million with an M and a company that is worth about 27 billion dollars. So this idea and mass that all these insiders are trying to exploit and sell all of their shares all at once, creating tons of selling pressure and indicating what the insiders actually feel about. Amc is completely hogwash. And hey, I know that the media didn't completely spell that out, but you know what they're trying to say when they're running these articles as the top news stories.
And look, folks, I'm not saying that you shouldn't report on insider selling, I'm just arguing with the fact that that's the top story. and not just the top story, but multiple stories on pretty much every mainstream financial media website this morning. Go through pretty much all media coverage on Amc and it's all one-sided. which is fine, but you think you'd have a little bit sprinkled in of at least talking about naked short selling, or at least talking about the fact that there's a lot of manipulation when it comes to the stock. And again, a lot of people are like, well, yeah, but they can't say that because they have to have concrete. You know, concrete data. They have to have all the proof laid out in the article or else they can't even report on it. How many times does the media report on stuff that's not true and they're just like, oh, you know, some random informant told us that this could be the case, but in this situation, the media doesn't even want to talk about it.
This is something that actually has a lot of evidence for it that at least deserves some coverage. How many times does the media cover rumors when it comes to stocks? Okay, rumor says, and then it gives an analysis. But no, the media doesn't even want to cover it in many, many cases and you're starting to see it talked about a slight bit more, but most of the time it's not talked about. When you see the coverage for Amc, it's pretty damn clear that the whole picture isn't shown in the media from pretty much any website.
The other news that I want to talk about is that the Sec has finally decided that they will be monitoring ongoing volatility in certain stocks and are on the lookout for manipulation and other forms of misconduct. They said something similar in January, and there have been some situations where they have been going after naked shorts, although at the same time of going after some people are doing naked shorts. We've seen some rhetoric that shows that they still think that a lot of naked shorting is a conspiracy theory, but it's certainly possible that if Amc actually does the mother of all short squeezes that everybody's expecting in the upcoming weeks and months, well, it's possible that that gives such an eye-opening result that the Sec can't help but see all of the bare legs that are out there. Ha.
Bare legs. Because Naked Shorts. Ha. Oh god, my humor is really bad these days.
It's a good thing my tea is tasty. Okay, the other narrative that you need to be aware of when it comes to Amc is this idea that shorts are covering positions. Now, we don't know for a fact how many shorts are out there, so we can't actually know what percentage of short interest is going down. We talked about this yesterday, but public short interest is reported by the firms themselves, and of course, naked short selling isn't even factored into that.
And with estimates ranging from 100 million to several billion shares synthetically created and sold short in the market, you know it's very difficult to actually put any reliability to the numbers of these of these short interest reductions. So the narrative being pushed is that, hey, look, shorts are covering. There's no actual squeeze that's going to happen here. But keep in mind, this isn't the full picture. We may just be looking at a tail of an elephant. Okay, Lastly, I want to talk about what needs to happen in order for this to go to a hundred dollars. I just want to break down a ballpark picture of what can push this now and the different variables at hand here. I understand there's ideas that this could go to higher values than 100, but let's just say 100.
Let's say that Amc is at 50 and that at that level, Amc is trading at a market cap of roughly 25 billion dollars. Well, it needs to double to get to 100, which would be a increase of a market cap of 25 billion. Now we know that market cap is calculated based on prices per share and prices are based on how many buyers and sellers are in the market and what price they've agreed on. Now, if a chunk of Shorts decided to cover all at once, it would put a ton of buying pressure all at once, overwhelmingly bidding up the price as it bids up the price stay to 80.
There would be risk management protocols and many different hedge funds either execute plans that dramatically buy shares back in order to cover short sales or execute options hedging plans that basically create more buying pressure for the stock in order to minimize their downside risk. Now keep in mind while hedge funds have a lot of money, they don't have the ability to just take on unlimited losses, so they have various risk management protocols and hedge funds also have the ability to get margin code right, so they have protections put in place to stop any of that from happening. And during the process of this happening, some of the stronger hedge funds would shift positions to higher levels, effectively shorting Amc at the prior, the higher price points, and others would completely take funds out of short positions and keep in mind that the less holders decide to sell shares while the stock is going up, the more hedge funds are going to have to chase the price upward in order to get the shares that are actually willing to be sold to them. So in this way, the more limited the supply, the faster it would go up with the less buying pressure even needed.
And so if say, at an 80 price point, you have a ton of new buying pressure due to covering and or a gamma squeeze such as we had at the earlier 40 price point last week, and that buying pressure isn't met with ample liquidity to buy back shares. Well, you can certainly see that rally intensify because they're going to be chasing it upward and the more intense the rally, the more short sellers would be motivated to join in. But again, the reason the calculation is so intense and so hard to do to even to speculate on is because we don't know exactly how many shares are going to be willing to be sold when the price starts going up, because we don't really know exactly how many people are just going to hold on to their shares and we don't know how many naked shorts and how many short sellers are going to be forced to cover at each buying pressure at each price point. And both of those variables dramatically change the result. But the point is that going back to the numbers, if you want this to go to 100 and a market cap of 50 billion dollars, you just need to put in enough buying pressure to pressure shorts to bid up the remaining share prices at the same time that holders of Amc stock refuse to sell. the more the demand and the more limited the supply, the less money in total actually needs to go into Amc to actually get that price up And that can be done, even if just a portion of shorts that we know about cover. So anyways, very, very interesting situation to say. At least we'll see what happens.
I've been enjoying covering this and hopefully we'll have a lot more exciting news to cover on this as well, but we'll be here for whatever happens anyways. have a great day and I'll see you in the next video. Anyways, folks that caps off the video if you have any questions, feel free to reach out to us below or join us on Ziptrader Circle. If you'd like to learn how to trade, would like access to our private chat and daily morning briefings.
you can learn everything about it in that link coupon code. Battlefield 75 will get you 75 off before checkout. If you're wondering what broker to trade these stocks on, I would like a broker that actually cares about retail traders. Well, Weeble is also linked below and that pretty much caps off the video.
Have a great week and I'll see you in the next one.
100 ain't enough
🦍🦍🦍💯
i truly enjoy every single one of your videos. Thanks Charlie you the man
any one got call options??… 300 to 3k.. amc lets go!
AMC stock has soared from about $2 at the beginning of the year to a peak of $36.72 last week. Seeing this sharp rise, investors wonder what the future holds for the stock.
Media trying to fud is a great sign that amc is doing better and better. They’re all in bed with hedges. Can’t wait to see them bleed (in the market, not promoting violence in case that isn’t clear)
Not likely Charlie.
when charlie says hit the ravishing like button, i hit the ravishing like button.
Clov sucks
Off brand Graham Stephens
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Hey Charlie, been with you before you had 20k subscribers. Thanks for covering AMC.
Man… sometimes I wish I lived on 40 acres in the woods
It's over for amc! How do guy guys not see it!?
what time is it arriving $100 😀 😀 😀
The media is incapable of ever reporting the truth. I have learned to believe the opposite of anything they report. AMC 🚀🚀🚀
Until I began paying attention to how the media covers AMC and the other "meme" stocks I trusted them. No more. They do not have the best interest of retail traders in mind and I will never forgive them for it. FUD and misinformation is all they have to offer
Love your coverage. Big AMC holder. Been in since $5.00. Think you should check out CKPT. Good buy right now. Institutional steadily adding to positions. Been watching it for two years.
Charlie, do you really talk that fast? Are is your video speeded up a little. It’s amazing speaking that fast makes some hard to understand but not you. You are clear as a bell. Understand every word. And thank you so much for your opinions and knowledge . Very helpful 🌻
Great viewpoint on CHPT!
And yes, most of the financial media channels/writers are either too subjective or somewhat crooked.
Fox business news has the balls to talk about it… But there like marble size and only talked about it positively a few times..
Clov is a distraction… If you made money on cool! But stay the course buy hold repeat
HOW HIGH DO YOU SEE AMC GOING? OR IS THIS THE END OF THE RALLY? LET US KNOW BELOW!