Okay folks on today's market update: We're going to be discussing three things: Number One, a new fund manager survey that explains what the majority of them are expecting for the rest of the year, number two, some slightly good news in terms of the latest inflation report. I say good in quotations because it's still bad, but it's better than expected. And then lastly, number three. We need to talk about why Amc bought a gold and silver mining company kicker Hymc, which basically tripled this morning at Heists.

and while we started briefing on the stock and zip Trader U last week before this announcement even happened, part of it was locked, but there's also certain characteristics that made it likely to go up. And I'll also give you some tips on how to find and look at short-term trades in this current market environment. I'll put all the time stamps below. Let's get right into it.

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Hit that ravishing subscribe button today. Okay, let's go ahead and start. so very strong day for the market. You have indices rallying massively and tech stocks taking the cake today with the Nasdaq up almost three percent.

But we do need to talk about what fund managers are worried about now. So Bank of America does this Global Fund Manager survey every so often where they showcase the opinions of fund managers and seeking alpha reports of the 341 respondents with one trillion in assets under management in the March survey which is the most recent one that just came out 62 percent. Expect the combination of high inflation and slow growth up from just 30 last month in February, the amount of fund managers that are expecting high inflation and low growth has doubled month over month, and we're at the highest level that we've been at since September 2008. You look at what this looks like in chart form: the expectations of above trend growth rates and above trend inflation like we had last year is going down dramatically.

On this line that is marked in dark blue, where is the expectations for below trend growth and above trend inflation aka stagflation is going up significantly. So in other words, stagflation is increasingly the number one outcome that fund managers are expecting for this year and beyond. But what is even more insightful is when you get into the question of what fund managers thought was the biggest tail risk for the market because the answer has changed rapidly month over month. If you look in light blue, you see February 2022 the answer.

and in dark blue you see March 2022's answer in February. By far the biggest fear was hawkish Central Banks. Big bad meanie Jerome Powell in March. Though hawkish central banks didn't even make the third biggest fear, it was number four, the Russia Ukraine conflict became the biggest risk factor seconded by global recession.

and then buy inflation. And only then do you get to central banks. And I think the reason for this is pretty straightforward. Last month, the markets were looking at an economy that was super hot and they thought of it as a very, very hot machine that the Fed had to go and pour a bunch of water on to cool down.

Now that fear has been pushed aside because you have all these new complicating factors, it's not so much the Fed dousing a hot economy. now it's the Fed dowsing a hot economy. But who cares, Because now we have this massive Russian invasion of Ukraine and international sanctions being targeted back and forth from the West in Russia, and of course, the constant looming threat of more escalation, which of course are all contributing factors that could lead to a global recession. Not to mention that we now have new lockdowns in China and major manufacturing areas that are almost certainly going to hurt supply chains even more than they already are hurt.

But again, there's a lot of insights that can be gained from this because last month, just last month, fund managers were most worried about the Central bank. and then they were very, very worried about inflation. But they were a lot more worried about the Central bank's reaction to inflation. And they were actually worried about inflation.

Now, not only has fear of Hawks of the Central Bank moved from number one to number four, but inflation has moved up above the fear of the Fed. Because now, fund managers like, well now, inflation's a much bigger threat and we're not sure that the Fed's going to be able to handle it. So we're a lot more worried about inflation than we are worried about the Fed now. But we're even more worried about a global recession, stagflation, and of course, the massive uncertainty with the whole Russia, Ukraine situation.

The second fear this month: global recession wasn't even a big talking point last month. Now it's number two. This says to me that markets are expecting the Fed to have a lot less influence on how the market trades this year as compared to the Russian invasion as compared to a global recession, And of course, as compared to inflation. Specifically, I think they're looking at those commodity prices because those commodity prices are going to be the biggest thing that drives us into a stagflating environment, one where all these prices are going up dramatically and input costs are going up to such an extreme extent that profit margins are getting crunched, People are spending less money, people have less money to spend, And then all of a sudden you get into the situation where you're going into negative growth while also having prices going up higher and higher.

If it is any consolation, though, fund managers do tend to be off on their predictions. If you pull up the 2021 B of a Global Fund Manager survey, 68 of investors didn't expect a recession until 2024 at the earliest, and now just like nine months later, a global recession is the second biggest fear. A majority of them also famously thought that inflation was transitory and I was in that camp as well. I thought you'd see an accelerating and pricing pressures, and then eventually the rate of acceleration would slow down and you get back to more of a normalized rate.

We've really had the perfect storm of literally every bad inflationary pressure hit us over the last 18 months, but I always like looking bigger picture. And if you look at the development of fears over the last 10 years of the survey back in May and March of 2021, it was inflation and taper tantrum fears. Then it was the virus. Then it was the 2020 Presidential election, then the trade wars, and so on, and so forth.

There's always a new fear period, a new fear, catalyst, and a new thing that global Fund managers are worried about. Some of them end up being bad, some of them end up being nothing burgers, but all of them end and they end eventually. Okay, so the second thing that I do want to speak about with you today is this new inflation report that came out the Producer Price Index. I have to say good news in quotations, because just like that Cpr report that came out last week, it doesn't meaningfully factor in what Russia did to global prices, especially energy, because most of that happened in March.

and it doesn't factor in New Covent lockdowns in China that we're seeing right now. But if you look at what we got today, it does show a deceleration of inflationary pressures. You went from 1.2 up in January to 0.8 up in February. These are still terrible numbers, but again, they're not as bad as the market was expecting.

And if you actually look at what's driving these prices, it's energy. I mean, you have hot pricing pressures in every category, but then you have energy up a whopping whooping 8.2 in a month. This is worrisome, because next month you are going to see a report that has much higher energy prices. But if you're looking for reasons to be optimistic that inflation is flat lining out a little bit in some areas of the economy, well, it does seem that the areas where we have the highest inflation are really concentrated around areas that are specifically focused on the supply chain and supply chain delivery.

If you look at goods versus services, good prices are accelerating dramatically, whereas service prices are decelerating. This is because the supply chain is still the primary driver of this crisis. If you don't have the ready supply of energy or materials, or you're at risk of losing that supply in the near future, you're going to have to pay out the ear for those things, and that's going to motivate pricing pressures everywhere else. Last year, a big reason for inflationary pressures were because literally manufacturers couldn't keep up with demand this year.

you still have that, and in some sectors it's getting even worse. But you also have more basic, essential supply chain issues like energy, precious metals, and basic commodities. Those things are very, very core inflationary pressures, which really bolster everything that's good related or transportation related or energy use related, whereas with services, you don't have the problem to the same extent. The silver lining is that services probably show a more realistic look at how pricing pressures would be if supply chains did heal.

The negative though, is that services are still pretty inflated, so I don't know folks. There's some slight good in this report, but we're going to need to see what happens next month to really get a good feel of where we're at. We have seen oil prices moderate a decent amount in the last week or so, and if those continue to fall to February levels, Perhaps we can average out some of the horrible effect of the strong start in oil prices that we had in the beginning of March, But I can't see the next report looking positive. I think minimum, we're going to have one or two bad reports to deal with.

probably a lot more if Russia continues to escalate. Okay, next so this is a picture of Amc Ceo Adam Aaron, who announced that Amc will be purchasing 22 percent of High Croft Mining, which is located in Northern Nevada. Amc invested about 27.9 million dollars in cash, and Hymc obviously reacted extremely positively to this announcement. The stock went from 117 to almost three dollars in this morning's pre-market I will explain how we managed to identify this one for our zip trader Eu morning briefings as early as last week on the 10th, when it was trading at about just 78 cents as well as what is.

It isn't possible to predict with these new catalysts. But first, I want to talk about this deal. So again, Amc invested about 27.9 million dollars in cash. Considering that Amc reported they have about 1.8 billion in available liquidity and 1.592 billion in cash and cash equivalents as of quarter closed December 31, 2021.

It's not a huge investment for Amc, but considering that Hymc had a market cap of just 17.9 million dollars as of February 24th and now has this 27.9 million investment from Amc, and more importantly, all of the attention from Amc's very, very loyal retail following, it's provided a pretty damn huge run-up for the stock. Eric Sprout, who is also a big precious metals and real asset investor, has brought a ton of money into the picture alongside Amc as well, which combined is about 56 million dollars. Hymc has had liquidity issues that has made it very, very difficult for them to start the expensive process of really meaningfully mining on its land, which is expected to have a ton of silver and gold reserves. And of course, in this environment where precious metals are skyrocketing, this creates a huge opportunity for organizations and companies that can provide liquidity to go and provide that liquidity and build another revenue stream when they actually go out and mine.

Obviously, it's not expected for a movie theater company to invest in basically distressed mining companies. Usually you'd have a fund that specializes in distressed assets in that specific niche, go and provide liquidity, and then also provide some guidance and put some people on the board that have a lot of experience so that they can ensure that they get the most out of their investment, but they are again doing it at the same time as precious metal investor Eric Sprott, so that will bring some expertise to the table. And Amc's Adam, Aaron said he sees similarities between the situation Hymc is in right now and that Amc was in a year ago, having what he says is rock solid assets, but facing a severe and immediate liquidity issue and he seems to feel he's helping an underdog similar to how Emc was helped last year by the Amc apes, while also potentially diversifying Amc's revenue streams in the future as well. But anywho, moving on to how we found this one for the zip Trader U briefings as early as last week.

So as commodities pushed and precious metals went to the moon, we noted some specific smaller spec companies tied to those commodities and mining those commodities that also went really to the moon. This is something that happens time and time again every single time a new hype sector emerges. For example, when oil, gas, and overall energy prices went on their latest round of skyrocketing a couple weeks ago. We identified small spec energy companies like Imp and Cei, which we felt were likely to outperform during periods of time where oil and gas prices were immediately accelerating and they were complete beasts during that time period, right? and in this case, similar to that last case and similar to all the hype sectors that we've identified.

We noticed that rare commodities were skyrocketing and causing some of the more spec plays in that space to go up. and we saw proof of concept with Hymc during this period here. And so after it sold off, we briefed on it 30 minutes prior to that market open on the 10th at about 78 cents. A share said that it had a strong bull set up if it could hold 75 cents and especially break resistance at 89 cents, and it satisfied our bull criteria and ran up to 265-ish by the day after.

on the 11th, we said it built strong momentum the day prior and we were looking for it to continue its breakout either in to close that day or through the next week. It ended up going off for two periods and then this morning it finally retook our bull criteria and rallied huge on this Amc announcement. But here's the thing right. this one ran massively and I had no idea of any sort of Amc partnership or any sort of Sprout Partnership, but the reason that I was able to identify it is because it fit the characteristics and criteria that I had set for hype runners in the overall commodity, precious commodity trade, smaller spec, precious metal and commodity players that were actually showing proof of concept and grabbing attention.

Hymc was that last week and it is that this week and that's the goal. You try to find companies that match the specs of what is working in the current market condition before everybody else does. You show up every single day and you put that work and you'd be very, very surprised at what you can find. Doing due diligence on your current market and the current market environment every single day is something that's going to give you an opportunity to be prepared when things start running.

If I hadn't been aware of the commodity and precious metals push that was pushing up a lot of the spec players in that niche, then I probably would have ignored Hymc completely right? and I would have had no idea what was going on when Amc had that partnership in a similar way. It kind of reminds me of Mullen. The first time we became aware of Mullen and Zip Trader U as a potential Catalyst Play was back on November 22nd. The stock didn't do much of anything except for drop in the overall risk off environment, but if I didn't identify that in my own work as a potential Catalyst Play, I probably would have missed the opportunity to see the significance of it announcing progress on its battery Pack development, which we briefed on February 28th, which of course led to going up huge of that day and has partially catalyzed Mullen as a mini retail movement stock.

The game with Catalyst Plays is completely different from long-term plays, right? Catalyst Plays are all about trading momentum, but more importantly, it's about showing up every single day. There are plenty of Catalysts that don't do much, especially in these markets, but the goal of my briefings and hopefully in your own pre-market work. whether or not you join us just to narrow down that as much as possible and find things that do work you don't necessarily need Zip Creator you in order to make that happen. I just like to go over the examples because I think that it provides opportunity to show the value that we provide in Zip Creator You, but also the opportunity to showcase some trading ideas if you don't want to join us and how you can find them on your own.

Anyways, folks that caps off today's video. If you have any questions, feel free to reach out to us below or join us on Ziptrader Circle Again, if you do want to join Ziptraderu I will put a link below coupon code. Never give up. We'll give you a discount if you are going to join us though.

Make sure that you're ready to put the work in. Show up every single day, Rain or shine. Watch every single lesson and get your money's worth out of it. Have a good one and we'll see you in the next video.

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