Charlie explains why the stock market is rising and what you need to do to be prepared to tackle the best sectors.
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Stocks break into all-time highs as Pfizer reports that their vaccine is 90 effective, and this morning we blew past the previous October peak and early September peak and look down at those pathetic peaks and laughed. And mid-day today, the Dow Jones was up 4.78 and the Dow Jones is usually the stable index that moves like a little snail and look at it leading the pack today, folks. Oh, the S P 500 was up 3.23 and the Nasdaq trailing way behind at just 0.7 percent. Up.
We got people bathing in oil today up 10 as people anticipate oil demand to skyrocket when the pandemic eventually ends, and if we fly over to Europe, we got our German indices Yaya, Sprechen d Deutsch Folk, German Dax is up five percent, We got the London Footsie, the Ftse up five percent that's my cup of tea, folks, and the French Cac up almost eight percent. They went full pastry, and let's be real, Europe has been one of the biggest benefactors today, as they've been hit a lot harder in the last couple weeks and are implementing lockdowns whereas the Us has largely avoided lockdowns to that scale. But anyways, flying back to the Us, it's not all berries and roses folks. Stay-at-home stocks like Zoom Piton, T-doc just got hammered.
So anyways, what does this news mean for the market moving forward? And how do we use this to make money? Charlie. We love making money Charlie. Well, in this video we are going to be violently, but of course, professionally and gently talking about all of this and the only thing that I ask in return is that you hit that ravishing like button. Okay, so let's start with the news.
So what we are hearing is that Pfizer's vaccine is 90 effective. Previously, we heard from White House advisor Fauci, that even something as low as 50 to 60 percent effective would be sufficient. So 90 is a big deal and says a lot about how efficiently we are going to be able to deal with this pandemic once this is in circulation and at the same time, this comes amongst cases increasing at a rapid pace, cases increasing way above where they were at at previous highs. If this was a stock, I'd say wow, this is a momentum plan.
Okay, so if this vaccine passes its last safety stages and gets emergency authorized, which is what they're going for in the next couple weeks, when do we start seeing this make a difference in the broader economy. So basically best case scenario, this ends up being safe, and it ends up holding true that it's 90 effective. When does this start making an impact on the broader economy? Well, Pfizer told Cnbc that the vaccine could be available in limited use as early as late December that's next month, folks, and widely available by third quarter of 2021. And if it's limited availability during this period over here, Well, we can guess that during the first quarter and the second quarter, you start seeing it roll out.
To some extent, this starts creating a picture that if we can just get through this winter, that all of a sudden, well, we have something to look forward to on the other side. But of course, let's be real. Just getting a vaccine isn't enough for the market. You obviously have to figure out a way to not just distribute it, but to build enough trust in the population and get them to take it. And with around 40 percent of the population needing to be vaccinated in order to develop herd immunity, well, this isn't going to be an easy feat. But nonetheless, the takeaway from the market and my takeaway is that we're going to have a good handle on this damn virus sometime in mid 2021 to late 2021. it looks like we're starting to see some light at the end of the tunnel. Okay, let's talk strategy.
So when you look at the market going into all-time highs, you aren't getting the full picture. Many of the companies in this index and in the broader economy are trading very very very very low. Underneath the surface, you have all of these sectors that are still red on the year. My plan of attack as we exit this pandemic is to look for the sectors that have the most room to recover, but are also valuable sectors.
Because let's be real, there's some sectors that just aren't going to come back to the same extent they were pre-pandemic so we're looking for value plays that are still trading really low because of this pandemic that are going to do really well if we actually get out of this pandemic. For example, in a post pandemic world, major airlines are going to slowly go back to being value plays. Despite the fear-mongering from the media, I don't believe the pandemic is going to permanently change the demand to travel. But look folks, I actually think that we're going to see a huge bounce the first season.
People see that it is safe to travel. and this is especially true if the economic recovery stays strong and people have money to go flying places. People right now are sick and tired of staying at home and so when it's safe and they have the money to do it, they are going to book flights and visit family far away going to fly here. They're going to fly there.
They want to get out of their house and if they have the money to do it, they're going to fly places. Businesses that don't like working over Zoom are going to start picking up. They're going to have their employees start flying again. Going to start seeing a huge rebound of flights once this virus fades away and people are confident that it's under wraps.
Now, whether that is Summer 2021 or Fall 2021 or Q1 of 2022, we don't know, but I think that investors are looking at holiday season 2021 as sort of the area where people start feeling really, really confident and are going to see a huge rebound in flights and traveling. Major airlines are up huge today, but they still have a lot of room to grow to get back to even three-fourths of where they were pre-crisis So this is a value industry in the long term, where you still have a lot of room to grow, where you still have most of the room left to grow. Okay, next industry Cruise lines. So cruise lines like Ccl and Royal Caribbean are up dozens of percentage points today, but still have lots and lots of room to grow as well. And this is another one of those sectors that are in the bucket of revenge. rebound travel, tourism spending. Let's be real. Cruise lines were massively profitable and massively popular.
Pre-pandemic These floating cesspools were America's favorite pastime for quite a long time, and I do see this industry rebounding Huge. But I actually do think that whenever this pandemic starts fading away, we're going to see it take a little bit longer for cruises to actually see a rebound in customers. I think it's going to be hard to convince people to sit on a cesspool in the water and float around with other germ-infested folk. I think that in the ending stages of the pandemic, you see a lot of people.
They're like. You know what? I don't want to live on a cruise ship right now. I'm going to take time until people feel safe again to go on cruise ships and airplanes. But at least on an airplane, you're there for like 10 hours and then you can easily just wear a mask on the airplane and minimize your risk when it comes to a cruise ship.
When people want to go vacation, do they want to sit on a cesspool with thousands and thousands of other people? Do they want to go on vacation to wear masks on a boat? So I think that in terms of the bottom line, cruises are going to lag. But I have to say cruise lines are up a lot more than airlines today, because unlike the airline industry, the cruise industry hasn't really been able to operate at all, so a vaccine would at least allow them to operate their business. I think that with cruise lines, investors were sort of factoring in complete losses. I think that airlines at the end of the day had priced in more security and more stability than cruises did.
and the reason is because airlines are an essential mode of transportation, whereas nobody needs to take a cruise. Cruises are entirely leisure, where airlines are just partly leisure. So while a vaccine causes a huge rise in both, well, a vaccine is going to impact a cruise line more because the cruise was dealing with a factoring in of complete losses. I think a lot of people are looking at the stock market right now and saying okay, well in mid 2021 we're going to be in a situation where a lot of the restrictions are gone, but the virus is still amongst us.
A lot of people now have hurt immunity, but the virus is amongst us. So in these risky environments like cruise ships, I think you still see people that that just don't feel as safe to go back on these cruise lines. And considering the average age of a population on a cruise ship, well, it's not hard to see these people being a little bit more cautious as we end this pandemic. So I think this is one of those areas where you see the most growth in terms of actual bottom line after the pandemic is well in behind us, whereas with airlines, I think you start seeing that even during the very very end of the pandemic. Okay, next movie theater stocks. Now, I'm not crazy about movie theater stocks. At no point in my career have I ever said that cinema stocks were the future. but major cinema stocks like Amc are up plus 58 today and they've already taken a lot of their upside to pre-crisis levels in comparison to the other sector.
But the issue that I have with this sector is that it's already been in a downtrend for years. Where would this have been trading at? If there was no pandemic, well, it probably would have still been trading down. It wouldn't have been down nearly as much, but it probably would have been like right here because that's the consistent downtrend that it's been on. This crisis just simply accelerated that downtrend.
and look, I like going to the movies. I like eating popcorn. I like those little chocolate covered ice cream bastards that you eat with your popcorn. Okay, but it's hard to argue that the movie theater industry is a value industry.
Cinemas are not the future, but are cinemas undervalued right now? Absolutely. The thing is that with airlines in cruise lines which we discussed earlier, at least you get to buy into companies at a discount that you know are going to keep growing in the long term. But with cinema, do you really think that this is going to be a big growth industry? No, but you do still get to buy it cheap. I just think for me, this isn't spoiled brat material, but Charlie, this is up way more today than the other stocks.
Well, I think that the reason that many of these cinema stocks did better than average today is because it's easier to convince people to go back and see a movie for two hours, spend 30 to 40 bucks on a couple tickets, than it is to get them to go back on a plane or a cruise ship. I think this is one of the most immediate sectors that are going to benefit, as we get out of the crisis. but I don't think it's going to benefit that much because again, the demand on this is in a long-term downtrend crisis or not. Okay folks, well that wraps it up.
If you have any questions, feel free to reach out to us in the comment section below or join us on Zip Trader Circle which is our free Facebook group where you'll meet ravishing other traders and you'll be able to talk about the best subject in the world which is well, the stock market. And lastly, of course if you'd like to learn how to trade, would like our morning briefings and are looking for the structure to grow your trading account. Well, we do offer Zip Trader U which is 50 off if you type in coupon code. Stay home 2020.
If you're wondering what broker to trade these stocks on, well we always recommend folks over to Weeble. Weeble. Folks Weeble! They are a powerful and commission-free broker and I use a lot of their scanners like their pre-market gainers in order to find some of the best opportunities that we talk about on this channel. And they are offering not one, not two, but three free stocks if you both sign up and deposit with our link below. So if you are broke or curious, you might as well check them out. I'll leave the link below anyways. folks, have a great day! make sure to hit that ravishing like button and I'll see you in the next video.
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I am still waiting on you to accept my ziptrader circle request
LOL the cases chart sure looks bullish 😂
I have been loving the money coming in.
Thank you very much for this video Charlie! This insane time must they really keeping busy! As soon as we think things are going one way, something changes. And it’s tough figuring out what the hell is going on. Thanks again for all your hard work
Hi Boss, can you give more in-depth information about the airline industry. about four major airlines (LUV,DAL,AAL, UAL)? also about intrinsic value and how to calculate it?
Thanks for the optimistic appraisal of our situation. I personally am sick of the media's doom and gloom crap they put out.
Noteable Airlines: (AAL, BA, LUV, JETS, exc,)
Noteable Cruise Lines: (CCL, RCL, exc,)
Noteable Cinemas: (AMC, IMAX, CNK, exc,)
Can someone send an invite to ZipTraders Discord
AMC went up 51% yesterday, did anyone catch THAT one???
EVFM🚀
Must be a new trader to be surprised.
I am enjoying your energy, listening to many sessions, but really, why promote WeBull ? China remains the only country profiting during their Virus.
:LOL This is a non event – really it will not do much as the vaccine will not be useful and the pandemic is fake. Masks still do not work and the virus cases are merely positives and you are probably positive for the flu or something, but you are not sick. Fatalities are not increasing an this is still a fake pandemic.
Isn’t this the same guy that said a crash was coming? Don’t try to time markets. You will get crushed everytime.
Ya its so cool. I cant do a gd thing because i dont have 25k trading. Luckily im in btc but the mf 25000 rule has cost me thousands. I was going to get 1000 shares of gm today but i would be locked in. Mthrfckr!
WHAT ARE YOUR THOUGHTS ON TODAY'S RALLY, WHAT IS NEXT? LET US KNOW BELOW!